Preseason Rankings
Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.9#349
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.6#290
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-9.2#348
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#343
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 4.8% 15.8% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 23.7% 38.2% 22.2%
Conference Champion 1.6% 3.8% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 29.4% 17.6% 30.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Away) - 9.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.90.0 - 0.9
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.60.0 - 1.5
Quad 20.0 - 1.50.0 - 3.0
Quad 30.5 - 6.00.5 - 9.0
Quad 47.6 - 14.98.1 - 23.9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 250   @ South Florida L 59-70 10%    
  Nov 10, 2018 37   @ Houston L 55-82 0.2%   
  Nov 12, 2018 323   @ Rice L 64-70 21%    
  Nov 17, 2018 63   @ BYU L 55-79 1%    
  Nov 23, 2018 328   @ Northwestern St. L 64-69 25%    
  Nov 25, 2018 267   @ Fordham L 59-69 13%    
  Nov 29, 2018 187   UAB L 60-75 15%    
  Dec 01, 2018 188   Austin Peay L 63-78 16%    
  Dec 09, 2018 322   Samford L 70-76 40%    
  Dec 19, 2018 150   @ South Alabama L 61-78 5%    
  Dec 21, 2018 166   La Salle L 61-77 9%    
  Dec 22, 2018 195   Tulane L 63-77 11%    
  Dec 29, 2018 201   @ Hawaii L 59-73 8%    
  Dec 31, 2018 234   @ Pepperdine L 64-76 11%    
  Jan 05, 2019 335   Jackson St. L 60-64 47%    
  Jan 07, 2019 296   Grambling St. L 66-74 31%    
  Jan 12, 2019 344   @ Mississippi Valley L 68-70 35%    
  Jan 14, 2019 332   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 65-69 27%    
  Jan 19, 2019 325   Alabama St. L 66-72 42%    
  Jan 26, 2019 343   Southern L 65-67 54%    
  Jan 28, 2019 346   Alcorn St. L 66-67 57%    
  Feb 02, 2019 297   @ Prairie View L 67-75 18%    
  Feb 04, 2019 243   @ Texas Southern L 67-78 12%    
  Feb 09, 2019 344   Mississippi Valley L 68-70 53%    
  Feb 11, 2019 332   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 65-69 46%    
  Feb 16, 2019 325   @ Alabama St. L 66-72 24%    
  Feb 23, 2019 343   @ Southern L 65-67 35%    
  Feb 25, 2019 346   @ Alcorn St. L 66-67 37%    
  Mar 02, 2019 297   Prairie View L 67-75 34%    
  Mar 04, 2019 243   Texas Southern L 67-78 25%    
  Mar 07, 2019 335   @ Jackson St. L 60-64 29%    
  Mar 09, 2019 296   @ Grambling St. L 66-74 18%    
Projected Record 8.1 - 23.9 6.2 - 11.8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.1 4.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.8 1.7 0.2 8.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 3.1 4.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.7 5.4 2.3 0.2 12.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 4.8 5.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 14.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.3 5.8 5.5 1.7 0.1 17.4 9th
10th 1.1 3.5 5.8 5.9 3.5 1.1 0.1 21.1 10th
Total 1.1 3.6 6.7 9.4 11.0 12.4 11.4 11.0 9.7 7.9 6.3 4.1 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 99.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 78.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 50.7% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 24.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 9.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.5% 0.5
14-4 0.8% 0.8
13-5 1.5% 1.5
12-6 2.4% 2.4
11-7 4.1% 4.1
10-8 6.3% 6.3
9-9 7.9% 7.9
8-10 9.7% 9.7
7-11 11.0% 11.0
6-12 11.4% 11.4
5-13 12.4% 12.4
4-14 11.0% 11.0
3-15 9.4% 9.4
2-16 6.7% 6.7
1-17 3.6% 3.6
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%